REAGAN’S DEATH, FARENHEIT 9/11, EDWARDS, SWIFT BOATS

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CLEARLY, THIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE IS NOT SHAPING UP to be about alternative policy choices. It is a race driven by various exogenous shocks. Electoral-Vote.com does a nice job of plotting certain events against the likely electoral college performance of Bush and Kerry since May.

BUSH-KERRY IN STATISTICAL DEAD HEAT

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The PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR PEOPLE AND THE PRESS ISSUED A SURVEY REPORT this evening titled “Kerry Support Rebounds, Race Again Even.” It seems that the controversy over Bush’s National Guard service has taken its toll. The report starts: Voter opinion in the presidential race has seesawed dramatically in the first two weeks of September….

U.S. IN THE WORLD: DROPPING THE FEAR FACTOR

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5

THE COMMITTEE ON THE PRESENT DANGER is attempting to engage Americans in important foreign policy and security debates through fear tactics. One good resource that seeks to engage Americans and those abroad who care about international affairs is a new guide, U.S. in the World: Talking Global Issues with Americans — A Practical Guide.

SLEEPY HOLLOW CEMETARY: WHERE LABOR AND INDUSTIAL AMERICA MEET

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5

I AM IN POCANTICO, NEW YORK, AT KYKUIT, the former estate of John D. Rockefeller for an interesting conference organized by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and the Carnegie Council for Ethics and International Affairs. I have been extremely busy up here and only now able to find a way on line recently.