Running and Limping in South Carolina and Nevada Tonight

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totten lowman nevada caucus.jpg
Hillary Clinton supporters Warren Lowman and Russell Totten caucus for Hillary Clinton in Carson City, Nevada and sent this picture into The Washington Note
Hillary Clinton wins the popular vote in Nevada’s Democratic caucus, but Obama’s team may be suggesting that he won because he may have pulled one more delegate than she did.
While Romney and Paul placed first and second in Nevada, the real race tonight for Republicans is in South Carolina.
John McCain — at the time of this writing — leads by what looks to me a sizable margin, but none of the networks will call Huckabee the 2nd place finisher. Romney is far back and trails Fred Thompson by a bit with 54% of precincts reporting.
A quick back of the envelope analysis leads one to think that there is a chance that neither Obama nor Clinton will break away from one another and that they’ll be at near parity (what in Japanese is called hakuchu) for quite a long time. Some strategists are wondering whether this gives John Edwards a king-maker role at the convention if neither Obama nor Clinton secure enough delegates to win the nomination outright.
And on the Republican side, McCain clearly has the sizzle — and Huckabee just got gut-punched, as things look at this moment anyhow. With the first state in the South possibly going to McCain — and with him also taking New Hampshire — McCain is showing that he has regional legs that none of the other candidates have.
— Steve Clemons

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