Anonymity Goes Thud


Justinian.jpgOver the weekend, Andy Revkin posted a very smart memo to the President-Elect from a group of “specialists on climate, energy, and technology policy,” who have decided to write under the nom de plume “Justinian” reveal their identities in a few weeks. The release sparked such widespread interest that two blogs (Unity College and Local Warming) and zero mainstream news sources have referenced its existence. I think it’s safe to say that Steve Clemons’s weimaraners have received substantially more attention (not to put them down — they are really quite adorable).
This begs the question: what were the strategic choices behind this paper’s release? None of the usual rationales for anonymity make sense. And the authors of this paper are obviously knowledgeable about the workings of government and are probably respected by Mr. Revkin (guess on my part), so it’s likely this would have been released in at least a few other places. It’s possible that this paper was drafted by a set of young, up-and-coming experts in the field who figured that an anonymously released paper could create some buzz. Whatever the rationale, it appears, at least to this point, to have backfired. I’m looking forward to finding out why it went down this way in a few weeks when names are made public.
So consider this my case for paying attention to this paper. I should note, by the way, that I am in no way connected with the authors and don’t know their identities.
I learned a lot by reading this paper, which immediately separates it from the nine out of ten policy papers on climate change that simply restate the facts and propose solutions that are unoriginal, vague, narrow in focus, or all of the above. Granted, we need these papers too, since policymakers have been simply unwilling to accept facts and consensus-supported scientific findings. But this memo takes a holistic view of climate change, and puts forward a new vision for tackling climate change via specific policy choices that President Obama can make.
It’s not worth rehashing each of the twelve recommendations, but here’s an example: the authors propose an elevation of the Council on Environmental Quality in the White House and a complementary demotion of the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, an institution that was first authorized to keep records and now essentially filters or cancels out environmental initiatives according to the narrowest kind of cost-benefit analysis. Considering how many disparate agencies in the government are now engaged in making environmental policy, we need CEQ to play the kind of traffic-cop role that it was envisioned to do, just as NSC does (or is supposed to do) on national security policy.
Decision-makers should consume this kind of analysis far more often. The entire memo is written from a point of view that emphasizes efficiency, smart governance, and global impacts.
Since I’m nit-picky by nature, I’ll mention two shortcomings. First, the paper contains not a single meaningful mention of adaptation, which is fully half the global discussion on climate change. Mitigation alone won’t solve the climate related problems we’re facing. Second, I’m not crazy about the authors’ idea of creating a volunteer Climate Corps. I do like the notion of emphasizing more climate-focused activities in Peace Corps, but most of the domestic goals of the proposed Climate Corps are being ably carried out now by non-profit groups. These groups could capitalize even more on the rising enthusiasm among young people if funding were directed their way instead of into new government programs that would do the same thing.
Anyway, do read the piece. Then sit tight with me until the authors reveal themselves and explain why their excellent analysis hasn’t gotten more press — or until I finish exams for my first semester of law school and need to whine about this some more, whichever comes first.
Scott Paul


4 comments on “Anonymity Goes Thud

  1. Brian H says:

    Having bought into both the AGW PR campaign and the “government is here to help you!” illusion, the authors have gone to town on a whole range of manipulations.
    Freeman Dyson, whose brainpower probably exceeds the multiplicative product of any five of the authors’, observed some time ago (based on his early and intensive exposure to the basic research in the GW area), that a) the data is of far lower precision and reliability than the conclusions of the AGW models, which is a stark, absolute NO-NO; b)the bulk of CO2 variability is due to seasonal changes in plant metabolism; and c) that it would be about an order of magnitude cheaper and faster to modify atmospheric CO2 levels with changes in horticulture and silviculture than through any conceivable manipulation of human industrial and consumption activity.
    So the entire analysis, like almost all of the Gore-IPCC-Kyoto canon, is pointless, moot, and guaranteed to inspire immensely expensive and counter-productive actions and programs.


  2. Ambika says:

    The reason for annonymity could be a number of reasons, as you and others say, and I would guess that they are probably young upcoming professionals trying to make a point without the backlash. I glanced through most of the paper and it is highly informative, and while I don’t agree with some of their ideas, I do commend them for putting this together.
    What I would like to also point out is that whatever the claims of this paper, it is important of pieces such as this to be distributed. There is so much attention on the Middle East, and the politics, and the oil and the economics, and the financial crisis, that other problems are being left aside, which have been forgotten for a long time. Climate Change, womens issues, Africa(somali, darfur, congo), and so many others need the attention of not only Mr Obama but also all the new to-be elected leaders of 2009.


  3. Mr.Murder says:

    So republicans and the monied interests will still determine our energy policy.
    Schadenfreude. It’s what’s for dinner.
    Maybe bread and circuses will still keep us distracted.
    Wonder if former company board member Condie Rice is included in this paper? Who among us does not love oil tankers?


  4. Michael Betz says:

    I suspect the anonymity is to avoid any retaliation from the Bush administration. A few weeks probably means January 21,2009.


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