The Center for a New American Security is taking a novel approach to thinking about climate change. CNAS — and particularly its CEO Kurt Campbell — are leading a consortium of think tanks and philanthropies in a planned simulated war game exercise on the consequences of climate change.
The group includes the Center for a New American Security, the Center for American Progress, the Heinrich Boell Foundation, the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, and Brookings Global Economy and Development.
My hunch is that they are going to find new swaths of the world that become developmentally unsustainable and that resource-based civil wars within states, conflicts between states and ethnic cluster-driven clashes are likely to erupt globally.
The nodes of wealth and the power in the world in Europe, Russia, China, and the US will have to determine whether they attempt serious adaptation strategies in light of what is projected, or whether they develop policies of injecting their forces into the middle of civil wars (the path the US seems to be on now), whether they pull up their respective drawbridges and wall themselves off from the conflicts and eroding circumstances of “climate change have-nots”, or some mix of these.
— Steve Clemons