STREAMING LIVE: Ezra Vogel on DENG XIAOPING AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF CHINA at 12:15 pm EST

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Today at 12:15 pm EST, I’ll be chairing a session with former Former National Intelligence Officer and current Harvard professor Ezra Vogel on his new book, Deng Xiaoping and the Transformation of China. Join us in DC at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in person — or watch live here at The Washington Note. This event will be webcast here. — Steve Clemons

NATO is Doing the Bombing, But Qaddafi May Be Winning the War

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This is a guest note by Daniel R. DePetris, an MA Candidate at the Maxwell School of Syracuse University, where he studies security issues and Middle Eastern affairs. He is an associate editor of the Journal on Terrorism and Security Analysis and blogs at the Atlantic Sentinel. Muammar al-Qaddafi may be down, but he is certainly not out. This is the perception that is currently floating in the minds of NATO leaders as the humanitarian intervention in Libya reaches its…

The Costs of War

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Brown University’s Watson Institute for International Studies just released an ambitious study that attempts to quantify many of the complex costs of America’s last decade of wars. Drawing on the expertise of economists, political scientists, legal experts, anthropologists, and others, the group has mapped out the “soft” price of these wars–including the human, social, and political impacts on the United States, Iraq, and Afghanistan. The group also put a price tag on more traditional economic costs of war. Their conclusions…

Fiery Words in the South China Sea

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When foreign policy makers analyze a situation they must consider not only what has happened, but also what could happen. So imagine for a minute how Chinese leaders might have responded if Deputy Secretary of State James Steinberg had made the following statement after the sinking of the South Korean Cheonan frigate: “Regarding the role of China in this, it is not directly related to the dispute, so it would be better for China to accept the results of the…

Saudi Arabia’s Shiites: Caught in the Middle

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This is a guest note by Salman Al-Rashid, a Master’s student at Georgetown’s School of Foreign Service and a former intern with the New America Foundation’s Middle East Task Force. Against the backdrop of this watershed moment in Arab history, a Cold War between Saudi Arabia and Iran has emerged. Mistrust and tension between the two states, one predominantly Sunni Muslim and the other predominant Shia, is nothing new. Iran’s support for Hezbollah curtailed Saudi Arabia’s influence as an arbiter…

Can the United States Remain United?

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This is a guest post by Caroline Esser, a research associate with the New America Foundation’s Bernard L. Schwartz Fellows Program. At the same time that Steve was streaming a live video of Monday’s New America event with Eli Pariser, the author of The Filter Bubble, we were pondering similar questions to those raised in Pariser’s book at the Center for Social Cohesion’s event, “Can the United States Remain United?” In his recently published book, Pariser discusses the dangers of…

China’s Aircraft Carrier: A Long Way to Go

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As far as overblown fears of the Chinese military are concerned, the impending launch of China’s first aircraft carrier is just another sign of the Beijing’s growing strength and assertiveness. In the past few years the task of modernizing the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has been thrown into full gear with the development of more capable destroyers, bases, and defenses. But China’s navy is still far from posing the type of threat than China hawks might believe-and its first…

Israel’s Treatment of Gay Palestinian Asylum Seekers

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This is a guest post by Caroline Esser, a research associate with the New America Foundation’s Bernard L. Schwartz Fellows Program. The newest way to sell Israel to Americans: LGBT rights. Search gay rights on the Anti-Defamation League’s website and what do you find? A ready-to-print and available for order poster that reads, “Which of the Middle East nations protects the legal rights, safety & freedom of the LGBT communities? Only Israel.” At the bottom of the poster, in smaller…

As Martial Law Ends in Bahrain, Will Anyone Notice?

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This is a guest post by Jonathan Guyer, a program associate at the New America Foundation/Middle East Task Force and the official cartoonist of The Washington Note. He also is assistant editor for The Middle East Channel at FP. He blogs at Mideast by Midwest. Bahrain has lifted its “State of National Safety,” and Saudi and Emirati tanks have begun to exit the small Gulf kingdom. Yet tensions are higher than ever with the Bahraini authorities’ ongoing crackdown on the…